PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xEAfA8d800B185200D9e2b56595cF278a4898944A-1772023588332

0xeafa8d800b185200d9e2b56595cf278a4898944a

Realised P&L
$-18.84
Volume
$9.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$35.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1980.130$26.27$13.73
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1380.033$4.73$15.27
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0430.022$4.71$4.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$146.75
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$83.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-27 13:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?BUY0.1$12.00
05-27 13:46US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.47$13.43
05-24 15:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?BUY0.2445770611$146.75
05-24 15:34Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.08$40.00
05-24 15:33Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.08$13.00
05-19 19:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
04-28 10:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?SELL0.995$72.35
04-21 10:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?BUY0.4699999929$19.15
04-21 10:10Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.038$18.56
04-20 18:36Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0429999987$30.00
04-16 17:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?BUY0.5399999943$38.53
04-14 14:18Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?SELL0.2462199674$37.73
04-14 14:02Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.2609999968$40.00
04-09 19:27Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
04-09 19:26Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?BUY0.2761247306$80.00