libertymarket
0xeaf15cfb58171e40b80def44548d78698b967ad8
- Realised P&L
- $-17.34
- Volume
- $83.19
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $16.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No | 0.819 | 0.765 | $13.89 | −$0.98 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.969 | $2.99 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.43at 0.933Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 15?
- +$0.29at 0.953Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16?
- +$0.18at 0.942Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.981Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 14?
- +$-3.00at 0.840Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 03:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.9499999029 | $5.87 |
| 10-15 01:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999664 | $2.96 |
| 10-14 23:58 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.87 |
| 10-14 23:44 | Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.329999999 | $9.87 |
| 10-14 22:25 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9299999937 | $5.91 |
| 10-14 16:23 | Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.96 |
| 10-14 16:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.96 |
| 10-14 15:30 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999936 | $2.96 |
| 10-13 22:37 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5099999939 | $4.98 |
| 10-13 00:10 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |