SigmaSentinel
0xeae55cdb3e49b348f7e758b5b9d7ee6fe30233c1
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $569.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,035
- Open portfolio
- $23.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,035
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.023Will Bitcoin dip to $110,000 October 6-12?
- +$1.9kat 0.060Will Ethereum reach $4,200 October 20-26?
- +$1.4kat 0.160Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?
- +$1.3kat 0.505Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
- +$1.0kat 0.194Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 08:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $90.00 |
| 09-25 08:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.06 | $24.00 |
| 09-20 06:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0229924615 | $75.00 |
| 09-11 01:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1199999998 | $40.00 |
| 09-05 08:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.015 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 21:06 | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999856 | $1.50 |
| 07-24 17:10 | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.6096574882 | $25.66 |
| 07-24 07:04 | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.789999995 | $19.00 |
| 07-24 06:18 | XRP Up or Down - July 24, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.8149716224 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 02:20 | XRP Up or Down - July 23, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.6451150425 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 02:14 | XRP Up or Down - July 23, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.4451687764 | $25.32 |
| 07-24 02:12 | XRP Up or Down - July 23, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.52736318 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 01:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 42°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.0142857143 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 01:31 | XRP Up or Down - July 23, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.7262281317 | $30.00 |