meendo38
0xeae07beeaca4876920011d8c090ca007cc635bca
- Realised P&L
- $75.62
- Volume
- $61.2k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $139.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2? · No | 0.991 | 0.996 | $84.62 | +$0.38 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2? · No | 0.991 | 0.893 | $50.38 | −$5.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 2? · No | 0.983 | 0.993 | $4.96 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 29? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 29? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 29? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 29? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.12at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 3?
- +$6.22at 0.951Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C or below on September 29?
- +$5.09at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Austin be 92°F or higher on May 31?
- +$4.41at 0.933Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on June 8?
- +$4.10at 0.979Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.983 | $4.92 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $14.91 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9906677741 | $14.91 |
| 11-01 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $79.28 |
| 11-01 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 11-01 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $50.55 |
| 11-01 10:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.992 | $16.19 |
| 11-01 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $75.12 |
| 11-01 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-31 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.987 | $34.94 |
| 10-31 22:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.96 |
| 10-31 21:52 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.987 | $39.28 |
| 10-31 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.95 |