blueorange
0xead9483d589b929eda3b3ac900376eaeb94ecc72
- Realised P&L
- $-510.39
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $814.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2026 NFC West? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.365 | $252.54 | +$106.43 |
| Spread: Saints (-3.5) · Raiders | 0.540 | 0.535 | $138.26 | −$1.29 |
| Spread: 49ers (-7.5) · 49ers | 0.530 | 0.505 | $133.40 | −$6.60 |
| Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.119 | $125.37 | +$34.93 |
| Spread: Lions (-6.5) · Lions | 0.520 | 0.515 | $100.03 | −$0.97 |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.060 | $65.30 | −$19.07 |
| Spread: Rams (-6.5) · Giants | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Broncos | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.00 |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Lions | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-5.5) · Patriots | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$571.32 |
| Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Iron Wing | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · 49ers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Spread: Steelers (-2.5) · Falcons | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) · Browns | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.59at 0.687Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$129.06at 0.490Spread: Rams (-3.5)
- +$111.71at 0.510Spread: Rams (-10.5)
- +$101.53at 0.502Spread: Chargers (-6.5)
- +$98.31at 0.522Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:40 | Spread: Lions (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $101.00 |
| 09-21 23:37 | Spread: Rams (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4899999968 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 12:42 | Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5299999988 | $140.00 |
| 09-21 12:41 | Spread: Saints (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999998 | $139.55 |
| 09-20 20:02 | Spread: SF (-12.5) | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $101.94 |
| 09-20 20:01 | Spread: Patriots (-4.5) | SELL | 0.9875605442 | $181.46 |
| 09-15 23:58 | Spread: Patriots (-4.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $95.55 |
| 09-14 23:36 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $97.00 |
| 09-14 20:46 | Spread: Chargers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4899999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 13:29 | Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $105.00 |
| 09-14 02:28 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $104.00 |
| 08-26 17:39 | Spread: Raiders (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4899999902 | $15.46 |
| 08-26 14:50 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.44 | $33.00 |
| 08-24 18:00 | Spread: Raiders (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5195098955 | $53.00 |
| 08-20 21:47 | Spread: Rams (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |