PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

australianHumpback

0xead86ca24c6c478ed694cbb499a85752375e5316

Realised P&L
$-92.62
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$6.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election? · No0.4600.370$6.52−$1.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 13:30Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.252$4.85
10-10 18:27US strike on Colombia by December 31?SELL0.23$5.80
10-09 10:40Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Hampshire be between 700,000 and 750,000?SELL0.18$3.60
10-02 16:33Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?SELL0.36$7.56
09-30 11:42Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 SC-01 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.11$2.77
09-29 15:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.3$6.92
09-26 05:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-09 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.18$3.80
09-25 05:34Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-05 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.26$3.66
09-22 22:11Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?SELL0.16$1.53
09-19 09:25Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?SELL0.3$6.30
09-16 13:44Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.44$8.34
09-15 18:45Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?SELL0.47$8.93
09-14 20:37Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?SELL0.6$13.91
09-08 19:16Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 25%-30%?SELL0.02$0.20
09-05 08:16Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?SELL0.4$2.06