oaushn2
0xead7f690507d065146601646ed833499975bc6e0
- Realised P&L
- $-524.84
- Volume
- $121.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $4.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.091 | $4.09 | +$3.46 |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.018 | $0.36 | −$0.03 |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.70 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? · Yes | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.91 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.71at 0.001Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 65% and 70%?
- +$-0.40at 0.001Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 57% and 58%?
- +$-0.93at 0.011Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum receive more than 10,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election?
- +$-2.30at 0.010Honduras presidential election annulled by February 28?
- +$-3.74at 0.002Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 2% and 3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 17:55 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.91 |
| 06-18 17:54 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.058 | $4.80 |
| 06-18 17:53 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 06-17 18:04 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.63 |
| 12-20 02:21 | Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 12-17 22:54 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.063 | $25.20 |
| 12-15 09:20 | Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.72 |
| 12-15 09:18 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.12 |