David1ahacam
0xead445a8f0befb055f00ca67c89b255c9eb85dab
- Realised P&L
- $-14.29
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $100.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.730 | 1.000 | $54.79 | +$14.79 |
| Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.657 | $26.10 | +$11.10 |
| Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government? · Yes | 0.648 | 0.315 | $19.43 | −$20.57 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.613 | 0.009 | $0.15 | −$9.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.48at 0.230Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$3.67at 0.440Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-10.18at 0.026Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-10.20at 0.634Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$-11.07at 0.440Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:05 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.0036822673 | $0.07 |
| 10-29 17:05 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.05 |
| 10-27 22:13 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.6341463322 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 22:12 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 4-5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.6134371834 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 22:08 | Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.54 | $23.47 |
| 10-27 20:37 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4150197473 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 19:55 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.38 | $4.75 |
| 10-27 19:48 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $40.00 |
| 10-27 19:24 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0171122374 | $19.82 |
| 10-27 19:01 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 19:00 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.4938618363 | $33.67 |
| 10-27 17:20 | Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 14:10 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.86 |
| 10-27 07:03 | Will Amcha Yisrael win 4-6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 21:41 | Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government? | BUY | 0.6483467118 | $40.00 |