0xeacbc67379f84be439b19833ebf1da890888f8f3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.18
- Volume
- $64.27
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $7.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.885 | $2.31 | +$0.22 |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 6? · Up | 0.760 | 0.550 | $1.51 | −$0.58 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.330 | 0.200 | $1.27 | −$0.82 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.550 | 0.425 | $1.25 | −$0.37 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.090 | $0.85 | −$1.23 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.760 | 0.225 | $0.62 | −$1.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.13at 0.400Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?
- +$1.93at 0.520S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$0.81at 0.720Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.00at 0.499Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 13:12 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.09 |
| 08-05 05:09 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 21:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? | BUY | 0.5199999801 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 13:03 | Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 05:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999491 | $1.62 |
| 08-03 21:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 13:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3299999116 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 04:59 | Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3599999242 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 20:12 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 00:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 16:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.12 |
| 08-01 05:22 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999281 | $1.56 |
| 07-31 21:19 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 07-31 13:19 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 02:49 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.4989999935 | $1.99 |