PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xcb5816C36905B32Ac52Eb3522ee5e26A110383D8-1755645508757

0xeacb8cbfa2af01f618bbd36b4ad8fcb22a9052a0

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$73.7k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1550.085$2.0k−$1.7k
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots · No0.0050.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.6500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 4? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 20:50Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.160440445$1.8k
08-25 20:07Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$1.9k
08-07 03:27Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?BUY0.64$14.57
08-06 15:43Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.4063315677$1.3k
08-06 15:43Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.5236292672$3.0k
08-06 14:40Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.87$708.81
08-05 20:23Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?SELL0.999$4.0k
08-05 16:21Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.9504736032$3.8k
08-05 16:13Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?SELL0.999$7.6k
08-04 16:53Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.9324188648$3.6k
08-04 16:53Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.9166321725$3.0k
08-04 16:49Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5?BUY0.05$10.00
08-04 12:02Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.9061175018$420.00
08-04 11:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5?SELL0.41$12.42
08-04 11:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5?SELL0.335$13.40