0xcb5816C36905B32Ac52Eb3522ee5e26A110383D8-1755645508757
0xeacb8cbfa2af01f618bbd36b4ad8fcb22a9052a0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.96at 0.270Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$18.50at 0.974Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?
- +$17.33at 0.890Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?
- +$14.60at 0.044Solana Up or Down - July 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$13.59at 0.790France vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9324188648 | $3.6k |
| 08-04 16:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9166321725 | $3.0k |
| 08-04 16:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:02 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.9061175018 | $420.00 |
| 08-04 11:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.41 | $12.42 |
| 08-04 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.335 | $13.40 |
| 08-03 16:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 16:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 16:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0865800866 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 16:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.3939411846 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13027767 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 13:48 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 12:52 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0672430296 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |