0xeaAeF7013e2159F56B8976446d0cC72E6d6d227a-1774182895795
0xeaaef7013e2159f56b8976446d0cc72e6d6d227a
- Realised P&L
- $-83.18
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 753
- Open portfolio
- $26.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded753
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.05at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 1?
- +$7.05at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 30?
- +$7.05at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 11?
- +$6.90at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 10?
- +$6.76at 0.432Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 23:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.8209999977 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 13:20 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or below on October 14? | BUY | 0.8779999979 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 61°F or below on October 13? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 06:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-10 01:20 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.9389999968 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.23 |
| 10-09 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 00:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 08:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 9°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-07 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 01:00 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.6102362017 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 20:20 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.8157905127 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 75°F or below on October 5? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.11 |