FORZA-m
0xeaa7b5a457e36189c86a377b713aec5badc2ff5f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $413.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $105.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.001 | $78.15 | −$3.0k |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $27.50 | −$204.39 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.88 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.50 |
| Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? · No | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.35at 0.587Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$54.85at 0.611Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$47.15at 0.509Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$29.26at 0.915Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$24.76at 0.647Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 11:48 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 07-18 11:47 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.18 |
| 07-02 16:40 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $12.10 |
| 07-02 16:40 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0196510715 | $82.14 |
| 06-29 12:13 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.027 | $6.53 |
| 06-26 19:01 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 06-26 16:05 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.19 | $47.50 |
| 06-26 14:00 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0329824088 | $37.50 |
| 06-26 13:59 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.033 | $5.31 |
| 06-26 13:58 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.03232 | $3.23 |
| 06-26 13:58 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0286194825 | $18.80 |
| 06-26 13:57 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0218483537 | $40.02 |
| 06-26 13:57 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.0266742256 | $69.01 |
| 06-26 13:57 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.03 | $5.91 |
| 06-25 18:19 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.76 |