Christian213
0xeaa746d0f359578feb49dc0661f791acbe7ded49
- Realised P&L
- $-0.78
- Volume
- $74.58
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.520 | $1.62 | −$0.28 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever · New York Liberty | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.56at 0.477Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$3.04at 0.699Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5
- +$3.00at 0.700Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$-0.04at 0.582Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$-0.21at 0.549Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 06:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998941 | $1.90 |
| 10-26 03:48 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.44 |
| 10-12 06:18 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5489999052 | $1.65 |
| 10-08 07:56 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.583 | $2.92 |
| 09-26 13:22 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.572 | $2.86 |
| 09-22 06:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-11 22:44 | New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.4299999656 | $4.00 |
| 07-26 09:55 | Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 19:18 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.6928340941 | $7.00 |
| 05-30 18:55 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 03-24 15:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |