alitrades
0xeaa50d752f445e16fcc41e9b2ff391969d8688b9
- Realised P&L
- $-36.15
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $14.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-09 House seat? · No | 0.070 | 0.075 | $7.40 | +$0.49 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.535 | $2.54 | +$0.83 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? · No | 0.850 | 0.855 | $1.98 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat? · No | 0.090 | 0.034 | $0.73 | −$1.19 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.035 | $0.69 | −$1.23 |
| Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? · No | 0.070 | 0.021 | $0.56 | −$1.35 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat? · No | 0.090 | 0.040 | $0.17 | −$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.00at 0.050Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$16.91at 0.583Argentina vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$13.61at 0.422France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5
- +$13.20at 0.432South Africa vs. Canada: South Africa O/U 0.5
- +$11.26at 0.729Bitcoin Up or Down on July 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:36 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.35 |
| 09-18 02:35 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.90 |
| 09-01 15:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.01 |
| 09-01 10:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.07 |
| 09-01 10:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.18 |
| 08-08 17:36 | Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999666 | $1.91 |
| 08-08 16:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.01 |
| 07-30 21:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.01 |
| 07-27 16:54 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.0969999565 | $1.92 |
| 07-27 00:03 | Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.0899999587 | $1.92 |
| 07-26 23:34 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat? | BUY | 0.8499997854 | $1.98 |
| 07-26 23:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.9299996102 | $1.98 |
| 07-26 23:29 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.9199998885 | $1.98 |
| 07-26 23:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.9199998885 | $1.98 |
| 07-26 23:27 | Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.9199998885 | $1.98 |