PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

5acrebleu

0xea907f17617b80ce0cc8b909e4713dc1af2052c8

Realised P&L
$-78.77
Volume
$42.4k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$11.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5200.705$6.78+$1.78
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2270.049$2.16−$7.84
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2100.044$2.09−$7.91
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$2.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5160.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-13 18:50Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.26$5.65
06-11 16:28Iran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.001$1.00
05-30 11:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
05-29 11:29Iran closes its airspace by May 27?BUY0.001$1.00
05-26 16:25Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.001$1.00
05-25 07:17Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?BUY0.001$1.00
05-22 06:44Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?BUY0.001$1.00
05-18 16:13Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?BUY0.001$1.00
05-17 09:14Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?BUY0.001$1.00
05-12 09:02Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?BUY0.002$1.00
05-05 14:13US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.27$3.55
05-04 13:56QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?BUY0.001$1.00
05-04 13:55Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
05-03 13:59AWS service disrupted by April 30?BUY0.001$1.00
05-02 08:45Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?BUY0.001$1.00