5acrebleu
0xea907f17617b80ce0cc8b909e4713dc1af2052c8
- Realised P&L
- $-78.77
- Volume
- $42.4k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $11.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.55at 0.180US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$16.89at 0.360Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$12.32at 0.549Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
- +$10.25at 0.280US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
- +$9.19at 0.620Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during the FII PRIORITY Summit?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 18:50 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.26 | $5.65 |
| 06-11 16:28 | Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 11:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 05-29 11:29 | Iran closes its airspace by May 27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 16:25 | Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-25 07:17 | Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 06:44 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 16:13 | Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-17 09:14 | Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 09:02 | Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 14:13 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.55 |
| 05-04 13:56 | QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 13:55 | Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-03 13:59 | AWS service disrupted by April 30? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 08:45 | Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |