PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xea8cf8836ce6e490afba58e18bd58c849296aeb2

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$51.6k
Markets traded
2,174
Open portfolio
$937.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,174
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.605$654.53+$394.98
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.962$115.84+$15.84
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.8801.000$113.64+$13.64
Trump out as President by June 30? · No0.9401.000$53.19+$3.19
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.4950.000$0.00$7.31
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET · Down0.5560.000$0.00$8.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.4840.000$0.00$13.35
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00$4.75
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.6410.000$0.00$3.18
XRP Up or Down - March 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.5780.000$0.00$5.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Up0.5160.000$0.00$8.63
XRP Up or Down - March 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.5560.000$0.00$1.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.4780.000$0.00$7.07
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.4360.000$0.00$4.31
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Up0.5480.000$0.00$9.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 15:45Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2399087691$259.55
06-15 03:29US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1400248338$231.74
06-02 16:22US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.88$499.99
05-27 03:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.75$493.42
05-26 15:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.75$98.69
04-07 20:07US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?BUY0.889$97.69
04-07 18:21US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.81$100.00
04-07 14:59US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.7059754673$48.35
04-06 20:37US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.72$50.00
04-06 20:36Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.88$100.00
04-06 14:53US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.84$47.73
04-04 01:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.89$50.00
03-26 19:21XRP Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.204987077$2.17
03-26 19:19XRP Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.2315112327$7.38
03-26 19:18XRP Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.3$1.94