0xea8cf8836ce6e490afba58e18bd58c849296aeb2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $51.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,174
- Open portfolio
- $937.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,174
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.37at 0.750US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$182.76at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$157.99at 0.655Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$125.90at 0.558Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$116.81at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 15:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399087691 | $259.55 |
| 06-15 03:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1400248338 | $231.74 |
| 06-02 16:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $499.99 |
| 05-27 03:10 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $493.42 |
| 05-26 15:28 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $98.69 |
| 04-07 20:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.889 | $97.69 |
| 04-07 18:21 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.81 | $100.00 |
| 04-07 14:59 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.7059754673 | $48.35 |
| 04-06 20:37 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $50.00 |
| 04-06 20:36 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 14:53 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.84 | $47.73 |
| 04-04 01:45 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.89 | $50.00 |
| 03-26 19:21 | XRP Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.204987077 | $2.17 |
| 03-26 19:19 | XRP Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2315112327 | $7.38 |
| 03-26 19:18 | XRP Up or Down - March 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3 | $1.94 |