ventop
0xea89195d39e6c72e329a778fcc0a83316f3d26ab
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $445.7k
- Markets traded
- 3,256
- Open portfolio
- $105.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,256
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$380.66at 0.775Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?
- +$250.86at 0.840Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?
- +$247.70at 0.605Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?
- +$240.75at 0.789Will United States win on 2026-05-31?
- +$238.63at 0.749Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.991 | $0.05 |
| 10-05 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 10-05 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.59 |
| 10-05 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 10-05 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 10-04 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.997 | $118.64 |
| 10-04 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $45.42 |
| 10-04 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.15 |
| 10-04 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.27 |
| 10-04 20:15 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.93 |
| 10-04 20:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.42 |
| 10-04 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 10-04 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 10-04 20:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 10-04 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.18 |