HenriB
0xea88cedb259acbfabc5c3fc4a45f5db9758dcc4c
- Realised P&L
- $-783.64
- Volume
- $19.3k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $224.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$356.80at 0.403Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$177.82at 0.246Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
- +$174.10at 0.420Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$169.29at 0.373Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$131.95at 0.215Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 00:06 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.0712096191 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 23:42 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.1318834463 | $75.00 |
| 10-10 23:33 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 08-25 02:14 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 07-03 00:17 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3349999807 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 00:25 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 00:22 | Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 22:31 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.0230000001 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 22:30 | Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0706936566 | $15.00 |
| 03-13 01:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.051 | $61.20 |
| 03-05 04:32 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.394 | $78.80 |
| 03-01 23:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.2596593 | $77.90 |
| 03-01 23:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.47 | $70.50 |
| 03-01 16:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.44 | $110.00 |
| 03-01 16:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $49.40 |