0xea85d50ea20b29c0a4751b5b7fe834f39fdc099c
0xea85d50ea20b29c0a4751b5b7fe834f39fdc099c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.63
- Volume
- $70.58
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.285 | $0.82 | −$0.48 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.130 | $0.68 | −$0.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.60at 0.339Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$1.84at 0.420Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?
- +$1.69at 0.440Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.08at 0.550Will Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$1.00at 0.570Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:52 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 02:33 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999827 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 03:56 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998975 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 05:20 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6099998686 | $1.30 |
| 09-18 02:32 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999735 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 18:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999731 | $1.30 |
| 09-07 13:20 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999149 | $1.30 |
| 09-03 14:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4299999272 | $1.30 |
| 09-02 20:11 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.4099999054 | $1.30 |
| 09-02 12:10 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.619999876 | $1.30 |
| 09-01 01:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999054 | $1.30 |
| 08-29 15:58 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999086 | $1.30 |
| 08-29 07:56 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $264 in August? | BUY | 0.5599999483 | $1.30 |
| 08-23 16:54 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 in August? | BUY | 0.5099999294 | $1.30 |
| 08-23 07:27 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5919996138 | $1.30 |