PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OllonPiercing

0xea808b7a8493e1de76142191feeb29533772516c

Realised P&L
$-487.32
Volume
$51.9k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.1160.255$498.62+$271.02
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0820.170$361.30+$187.35
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Sweden? · Yes0.0110.049$44.58+$34.68
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V? · Yes0.0110.065$44.45+$36.71
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0240.032$41.95+$10.14
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L? · Yes0.0130.104$37.78+$33.12
Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm? · No0.0090.133$27.99+$25.99
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? · Yes0.1590.175$17.85+$1.67
Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.2900.325$16.25+$1.75
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · No0.0810.244$15.09+$10.09
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? · Yes0.0080.082$14.29+$12.89
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? · Yes0.1350.034$5.62−$16.63
Will Sebastian Cehlin be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes0.0190.020$5.25+$0.26
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + L? · Yes0.0020.008$4.78+$3.39
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.190$4.75−$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 09:55Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD?BUY0.001$0.82
10-15 09:54Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M?BUY0.001$0.40
10-15 09:50Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.2075388982$20.00
10-03 21:25Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.0264446621$30.00
10-03 21:11Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of Sweden?BUY0.019$1.00
10-03 21:10Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V?BUY0.0279650399$5.00
10-02 09:11Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.01385$1.39
10-01 09:09Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?SELL0.17$8.50
09-28 09:45Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.29$14.50
09-27 20:57Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.115$10.35
09-27 20:34Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1598827118$29.00
09-27 19:36Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1579999981$2.00
09-27 19:19Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1579999981$10.00
09-27 09:02Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?BUY0.1549999995$40.00
09-27 09:01Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?SELL0.1164964224$42.17