LML
0xea7fadbca32b7d5a8132b86f19de0ff16c8a85d5
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $284.5k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $53.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.003 | $53.66 | −$196.30 |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.435 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.25 |
| Cowboys vs. Lions · Cowboys | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.40 |
| Spread: Senators (-1.5) · Senators | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.45 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$501.21 |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Buccaneers vs. Dolphins · Buccaneers | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) · Della Maddalena | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$151.41 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.92 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets · Grizzlies | 0.324 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.43 |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers · Kings | 0.292 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.09 |
| Bills vs. Broncos · Bills | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.24 |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) · Scotland | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$406.06at 0.330Biden drops out of presidential race?
- +$346.07at 0.464Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$316.67at 0.240UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$260.95at 0.425Spread: Senators (-1.5)
- +$234.24at 0.300Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 45.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 11:06 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999949 | $30.00 |
| 06-22 00:02 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999999 | $350.00 |
| 06-14 00:45 | Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.389999999 | $97.08 |
| 06-11 20:23 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999998 | $58.00 |
| 06-11 20:22 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999996 | $40.00 |
| 06-11 20:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.1537066678 | $150.69 |
| 06-11 11:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0509999991 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 11:15 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0288844616 | $50.00 |
| 06-09 19:21 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $146.26 |
| 06-09 19:20 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $30.00 |
| 06-05 14:43 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $338.45 |
| 05-10 09:40 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999997 | $60.00 |
| 05-10 09:39 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0059999999 | $50.00 |
| 05-10 09:37 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0149999997 | $50.00 |
| 05-10 02:30 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |