PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xea7b027dCf49D1d38673B5a427503A52c5ab7562-1781650038484

0xea7b027dcf49d1d38673b5a427503a52c5ab7562

Realised P&L
$-10.21
Volume
$214.85
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$5.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? · Yes0.4500.745$3.31+$1.31
Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2? · Yes0.3500.395$2.26+$0.26
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Honduras vs. Suriname end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.25
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? · No0.3920.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Suriname win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 14:42Will Suriname win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.449999964$5.00
09-28 11:42Spread: Suriname (-1.5)SELL0.33$2.83
09-28 11:41Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.6199999587$3.00
09-28 11:40Spread: Suriname (-1.5)BUY0.3499999825$3.00
09-25 00:30Will Suriname win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
09-25 00:30Will Honduras vs. Suriname end in a draw?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-25 00:27Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4?BUY0.4499999438$2.00
09-25 00:25Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
07-10 21:36Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.599999976$5.00
07-10 15:52Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.3924999258$3.00
07-05 19:18Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.619999969$4.00
06-28 12:19Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4$1.00
06-28 12:13Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3299999296$3.00
06-25 22:10Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4899999951$3.00
06-25 22:08Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?SELL0.88$3.56