0xea7b027dCf49D1d38673B5a427503A52c5ab7562-1781650038484
0xea7b027dcf49d1d38673b5a427503a52c5ab7562
- Realised P&L
- $-10.21
- Volume
- $214.85
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $5.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.745 | $3.31 | +$1.31 |
| Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.395 | $2.26 | +$0.26 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Honduras vs. Suriname end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? · No | 0.392 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Suriname win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.68at 0.177Will Suriname win on 2026-09-25?
- +$3.08at 0.497Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.01at 0.627Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.41at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$2.13at 0.587Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 14:42 | Will Suriname win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 11:42 | Spread: Suriname (-1.5) | SELL | 0.33 | $2.83 |
| 09-28 11:41 | Will Suriname win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.6199999587 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 11:40 | Spread: Suriname (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 00:30 | Will Suriname win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 00:30 | Will Honduras vs. Suriname end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 00:27 | Will Sweden win 2026-27 Nations League Group B4? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 00:25 | Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 21:36 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 15:52 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.3924999258 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 19:18 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.619999969 | $4.00 |
| 06-28 12:19 | Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 12:13 | Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3299999296 | $3.00 |
| 06-25 22:10 | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 06-25 22:08 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.56 |