ukraine5
0xea727d2448de281932d0fbdf1dd668b7a5f3833e
- Realised P&L
- $282.44
- Volume
- $22.9k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $372.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.954 | 0.980 | $195.90 | +$5.10 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No | 0.950 | 0.983 | $98.30 | +$3.30 |
| Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.992 | $49.58 | +$1.57 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in November? · No | 0.968 | 0.960 | $28.79 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.10at 0.510Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21?
- +$52.80at 0.150Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?
- +$32.90at 0.530TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
- +$23.00at 0.770Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
- +$18.05at 0.450Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:20 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in November? | BUY | 0.968 | $29.04 |
| 10-16 10:16 | Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 09-29 09:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31? | BUY | 0.982 | $148.28 |
| 09-10 10:05 | Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 08-29 07:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 2°C or below on August 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.50 |
| 08-29 07:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or below on August 29? | BUY | 0.987055805 | $30.78 |
| 08-29 07:14 | Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on August 29? | BUY | 0.9806197782 | $129.11 |
| 08-08 02:59 | US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | BUY | 0.933 | $46.65 |
| 08-08 02:58 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 07-28 12:49 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $54.87 |
| 07-28 12:40 | Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of July? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 07-28 12:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $148.45 |
| 07-28 12:35 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.954 | $190.80 |
| 07-28 12:34 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 07-28 12:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mohammed bin Salman by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9925 | $29.78 |