DNO1
0xea6a1482d3e441d9a13e2445d1c94f4f24448f83
- Realised P&L
- $-11.87
- Volume
- $826.69
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $13.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.205 | $4.10 | −$1.70 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? · No | 0.280 | 0.205 | $4.10 | −$1.50 |
| Will "Josephine" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $1.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Joan Collins be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.055 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Nublense be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.499 | $1.00 | +$0.90 |
| Will Anto Grgic record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.048 | $0.96 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.80at 0.800Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?
- +$4.41at 0.210Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$1.49at 0.100Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.12at 0.124Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $132.5?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will there be 2 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 08:47 | Will "Let Me Sell You a Dream" from Musk win Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-16 08:47 | Will "Josephine" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 08:43 | Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 08:52 | Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.04 |
| 10-14 22:38 | Will Anto Grgic record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-14 22:04 | Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above $132.5? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 10-14 22:03 | Will We're Fine win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 10-14 22:02 | Will Joan Collins be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-14 20:30 | Will Nublense be relegated from the 2026 Chile Primera? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.10 |
| 10-14 20:26 | Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-14 14:32 | Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $68B? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-14 13:44 | Will Core PCE YoY be 2.9% in September? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-14 11:18 | Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 10-14 11:18 | Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $49B? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-14 07:47 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $15.80 |