0xea68bb9c657481afa7a866c695661b9877cfad15
0xea68bb9c657481afa7a866c695661b9877cfad15
- Realised P&L
- $14.47
- Volume
- $446.10
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $7.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 1.000 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.860 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.217 | 0.259 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.390 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No | 0.680 | 0.675 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.799 | 0.742 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.130 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.250Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$5.06at 0.289Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 09:45 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7989999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:41 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2169999967 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:43 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:14 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:13 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6909997879 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.71399991 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 19:54 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 04:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 07:17 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 21:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:39 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |