PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hulu1933

0xea6869d0088ef430f9824677b52504d762c68637

Realised P&L
$-45.69
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
432
Open portfolio
$42.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded432
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23? · Yes0.9300.978$26.28+$1.28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24? · Yes0.9200.978$15.94+$0.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.2090.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up0.1380.000$0.00−$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$1.00
Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellis · Linang Xiao0.2960.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils · St. John's Red Storm0.2910.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.1080.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.1390.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET · Up0.2540.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 02:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSELL0.19$0.58
10-21 02:42Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-21 02:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETSELL0.44$1.33
10-21 02:40Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-21 01:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 24?BUY0.9199999975$15.00
10-21 01:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 23?BUY0.9299999803$25.00
10-20 07:38Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETBUY0.2$1.00
10-20 07:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSELL0.65$1.33
10-20 07:29Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-20 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.81$1.47
10-20 07:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.549999945$1.00
10-20 07:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.34$1.70
10-20 07:21Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.2$1.00
10-20 07:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.74$1.54
10-20 07:19Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00