PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Marton01

0xea67b77e351c74cb1e437f46f4ff69143c94733c

Realised P&L
$-33.99
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$78.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3630.622$21.40+$8.92
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2210.195$11.09−$1.47
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0750.068$9.00−$1.00
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2030.175$7.54−$1.19
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1910.177$7.43−$0.57
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4100.345$4.21−$0.79
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0380.015$4.08−$5.92
Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.0470.064$2.70+$0.70
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2780.128$2.30−$2.70
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0460.043$1.89−$0.11
Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.1000.095$0.95−$0.05
Will Italy win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.0470.035$0.94−$0.31
Will Hungary win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.0040.004$0.91−$0.09
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.195$0.81−$0.19
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.7000.235$0.70−$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:36Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
09-21 20:44Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.067$2.16
09-14 17:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?BUY0.4099999816$4.00
09-14 17:15Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0889999965$2.00
09-14 17:15Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0170212766$2.00
09-12 09:37Ethereum Up or Down on September 12?BUY0.0439999995$1.00
09-12 09:31Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.109999989$1.00
09-12 09:31Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.3869999992$3.00
09-11 21:14Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?BUY0.32$4.00
09-11 21:10Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0426753563$2.50
09-11 21:06Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0881188088$1.00
09-11 21:05Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0409999998$1.50
09-11 21:05Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0889999978$3.00
09-11 20:55Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.1339534844$1.00
09-06 14:38Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Ujpest FC Budapest: O/U 3.5BUY0.5399999784$2.00