Marton01
0xea67b77e351c74cb1e437f46f4ff69143c94733c
- Realised P&L
- $-33.99
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $78.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.93at 0.099Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?
- +$15.81at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$4.43at 0.480Will Trump say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during remarks in New York?
- +$4.27at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
- +$3.58at 0.369Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:36 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:44 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.067 | $2.16 |
| 09-14 17:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 17:15 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0889999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 17:15 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0170212766 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 09:37 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 12? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:31 | Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:31 | Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.3869999992 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 21:14 | Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.00 |
| 09-11 21:10 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0426753563 | $2.50 |
| 09-11 21:06 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0881188088 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 21:05 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $1.50 |
| 09-11 21:05 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0889999978 | $3.00 |
| 09-11 20:55 | Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.1339534844 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 14:38 | Ferencvarosi Budapest vs. Ujpest FC Budapest: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |