PolyBot

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Traders

Shiraikuroko

0xea52eb4e3392d6c788de2024d4c7918dc1bcea25

Realised P&L
$-724.98
Volume
$64.6k
Markets traded
193
Open portfolio
$179.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded193
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.6520.650$179.46−$0.54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.7130.000$0.00−$400.13
Spread: Belgium (-1.5) · United States0.8400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 2? · Yes0.7960.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? · No0.2480.000$0.00−$55.00
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? · No0.9170.000$0.00−$110.00
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.8040.000$0.00−$450.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 03:34Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.6519623725$180.00
09-26 15:28Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 30, 2026?BUY0.977$280.00
09-23 08:30Ren Zhengfei public appearance by October 31?BUY0.8720109804$100.00
09-21 05:43Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.9500074718$100.00
09-19 09:51Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.9141441038$300.00
09-19 09:04Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.9059999995$100.00
09-19 03:19Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?SELL0.9264776076$386.03
09-18 06:10Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.96$400.00
09-18 03:46Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.92$50.00
09-16 15:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.11$4.87
09-16 07:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$3.54
09-16 07:31Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 16?BUY0.9884118753$152.48
09-16 03:28Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999976$2.00
09-15 16:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1399999979$8.00
09-15 13:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.87$22.02