yingj15
0xea4e8bc2f98782db4e513ce6c4f2b7fba714ffd5
- Realised P&L
- $14.52
- Volume
- $53.7k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $144.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $55.00 | +$0.06 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $55.00 | +$0.06 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $14.38 | +$3.13 |
| Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.955 | 0.973 | $10.64 | +$0.19 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.645 | $9.68 | −$1.57 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · No | 0.932 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will The Weeknd be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? · No | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.33at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$7.11at 0.420Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$5.79at 0.600LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner
- +$3.68at 0.690Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$3.33at 0.640Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 20:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 09-22 20:27 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.25 |
| 09-22 20:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $54.95 |
| 09-22 20:26 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 09-22 20:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8084431456 | $15.21 |
| 05-19 20:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 05-19 20:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $76.85 |
| 05-19 20:05 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $76.85 |
| 05-19 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 04-28 14:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 04-28 14:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 04-28 14:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.96 |
| 04-28 14:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 04-16 15:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 04-16 15:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.95 |