strzetcki
0xea49d01859f258947dd7bb0ca6988755d0c9cec1
- Realised P&L
- $886.79
- Volume
- $166.2k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $92.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$587.82at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$498.82at 0.098Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$193.57at 0.400US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$186.69at 0.383Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
- +$163.77at 0.440Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 17:22 | Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 17:22 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $20.28 |
| 10-30 17:20 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $19.99 |
| 10-30 17:07 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 17:06 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 05:20 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1155789745 | $28.99 |
| 10-30 04:49 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2754904832 | $30.11 |
| 10-30 03:10 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | SELL | 0.16 | $22.86 |
| 10-29 03:59 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 03:59 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 03:22 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4362312124 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 03:08 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2745098021 | $30.00 |
| 10-29 02:34 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Florida? | BUY | 0.0447962643 | $20.00 |
| 05-18 21:06 | Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | BUY | 0.0989999924 | $10.58 |
| 05-18 21:06 | No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30? | SELL | 0.151790817 | $10.94 |