Tajko
0xea49a06282903b26e599c854a05a2fa9a8bf381a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.83
- Volume
- $230.73
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $14.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.510 | $14.28 | +$7.28 |
| 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.86at 0.590Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$0.66at 0.470Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30?
- +$0.00at 0.012100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31?
- +$-0.34at 0.320Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?
- +$-2.00at 0.270Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:43 | Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 16:48 | Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 03-31 16:06 | 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by April 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 03-31 16:06 | Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30? | SELL | 0.778 | $1.65 |
| 03-30 11:47 | Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.66 |
| 03-25 21:47 | Will MrBeast hit 478 million subscribers by April 30? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 21:44 | 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 21:43 | Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 11:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 03-24 15:03 | 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by March 31? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 14:02 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.86 |
| 03-22 18:39 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |