PolyBot

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Traders

insanelgreat

0xea43833804dfd196e3d4d002895c61e48660828b

Realised P&L
$-477.88
Volume
$39.1k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$353.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3600.295$248.38−$55.07
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0120.011$29.71−$1.29
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0100.010$25.54+$0.00
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0070.006$18.57−$1.43
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0050.005$16.50+$1.50
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? · Yes0.0040.006$15.00+$5.00
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 66-68%? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$66.00
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00−$124.00
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$126.42
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$137.00
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$136.09
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 64-66%? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.3140.000$0.00−$204.28
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$175.01
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? · Yes0.0880.000$0.00−$60.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 01:40Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.01$10.54
11-01 01:37Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.012$10.00
11-01 01:33Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.01$15.00
11-01 01:31Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.012$21.00
11-01 01:29Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?BUY0.004$10.00
11-01 01:21Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.005$15.00
11-01 01:21Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.007$20.00
11-01 01:19Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2999999994$100.00
09-21 22:23Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4$203.45
05-12 05:09Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.42$901.47
04-19 16:17Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.28$294.77
04-15 18:31Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.2799999996$306.21
04-12 15:20Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%?BUY0.0876396608$60.86
04-11 15:55Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?BUY0.2288671807$146.81
04-01 21:48Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.024$126.42