insanelgreat
0xea43833804dfd196e3d4d002895c61e48660828b
- Realised P&L
- $-477.88
- Volume
- $39.1k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $353.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.21at 0.410Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$284.80at 0.280Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$203.63at 0.300Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$-29.89at 0.117Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%?
- +$-34.00at 0.170Will George Simion win by 0–6%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:40 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.54 |
| 11-01 01:37 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.012 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 01:33 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 01:31 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.012 | $21.00 |
| 11-01 01:29 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 01:21 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.005 | $15.00 |
| 11-01 01:21 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas? | BUY | 0.007 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 01:19 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 22:23 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $203.45 |
| 05-12 05:09 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.42 | $901.47 |
| 04-19 16:17 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.28 | $294.77 |
| 04-15 18:31 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2799999996 | $306.21 |
| 04-12 15:20 | Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 3-6%? | BUY | 0.0876396608 | $60.86 |
| 04-11 15:55 | Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%? | BUY | 0.2288671807 | $146.81 |
| 04-01 21:48 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.024 | $126.42 |