SimarA
0xea4250afda04bb73c17002b803480aad35fa38f0
- Realised P&L
- $-227.85
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $19.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.42at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
- +$18.70at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$15.37at 0.781Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$13.13at 0.070Ethereum Up or Down - March 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$7.10at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:26 | Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:25 | Will Albania vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:25 | Will Belarus win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:24 | Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:24 | Will Hungary win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:24 | Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:24 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:23 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:23 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:22 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 17:22 | Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:21 | Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 12:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.79 |
| 09-20 16:20 | Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 16:20 | Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |