PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SimarA

0xea4250afda04bb73c17002b803480aad35fa38f0

Realised P&L
$-227.85
Volume
$22.7k
Markets traded
438
Open portfolio
$19.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded438
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5860.635$6.83+$0.52
Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.6800.675$1.99$0.01
Will Albania vs. Belarus end in a draw? · No0.7700.765$0.99$0.01
Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? · No0.7500.745$0.99$0.01
Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw? · No0.7400.735$0.99$0.01
Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw? · No0.7100.705$0.99$0.01
Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.3500.345$0.99$0.01
Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw? · No0.8200.805$0.98$0.02
Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.4600.450$0.98$0.02
Will Hungary win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.4400.425$0.97$0.03
Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? · No0.7300.680$0.93$0.07
Will Belarus win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.1300.120$0.92$0.08
Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw? · No0.8800.730$0.83$0.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 17:26Will Germany vs. Greece end in a draw?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
09-21 17:25Will Albania vs. Belarus end in a draw?BUY0.77$1.00
09-21 17:25Will Belarus win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-21 17:24Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-21 17:24Will Hungary win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-21 17:24Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.74$1.00
09-21 17:24Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-21 17:23Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?BUY0.75$1.00
09-21 17:23Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-21 17:22Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.68$2.00
09-21 17:22Will Austria vs. Israel end in a draw?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-21 17:21Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?BUY0.68$2.00
09-21 12:25Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.965$1.79
09-20 16:20Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.6799999547$3.00
09-20 16:20Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?BUY0.8$3.00