PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sh777

0xea3a464ab0888f178f3f4127463a26246f4ff78e

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$56.8k
Markets traded
348
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded348
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2400.925$370.00+$274.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.765$136.26+$17.14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? · Yes0.9550.989$98.90+$3.40
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 5? · No0.9610.968$96.75+$0.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? · No0.8800.885$88.50+$0.50
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.2800.165$82.50−$57.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · No0.7800.815$81.50+$3.50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6900.790$37.82+$4.79
China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev · Daniil Medvedev0.5100.115$8.05−$27.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 06:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?BUY0.955$95.50
10-05 06:12Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 5?BUY0.961$96.10
10-03 14:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?BUY0.989$112.75
09-28 02:44Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.808$80.80
09-27 04:01Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.68$53.12
09-18 16:52Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?SELL0.9711$97.11
09-13 14:13Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.977$19.54
09-05 11:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
09-05 11:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-27 11:40Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?BUY0.78$23.40
08-27 11:40Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?BUY0.93$93.00
08-27 11:39Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?SELL0.4123094619$20.61
08-17 12:58Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.93$111.60
08-17 12:14Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?SELL0.963$115.56
08-10 16:03Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?BUY0.84$92.40