0xEA3539B6a4fc2B9AB3a1D906bDA1788F8285aC49-1781229240285
0xea3539b6a4fc2b9ab3a1d906bda1788f8285ac49
- Realised P&L
- $-122.34
- Volume
- $821.10
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $40.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.065 | $32.50 | −$97.50 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.041 | $4.10 | −$5.90 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.440 | 0.595 | $4.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · No | 0.631 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.05at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$-0.14at 0.4202026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 13:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.6310679085 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 13:54 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.41 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 13:42 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 08-01 13:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $35.04 |
| 07-25 16:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099999289 | $3.00 |
| 07-25 16:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4399999707 | $3.00 |
| 06-12 02:39 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999945 | $30.00 |
| 06-12 02:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699999926 | $20.00 |
| 06-12 02:35 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 02:31 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 06-12 02:30 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999945 | $30.00 |
| 06-12 02:29 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 02:29 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |