0xB650214398240caFe91a9d6eA360Fe03C2BeF47c-1772680896133
0xea225d2c9f274c7b8394673db8912e7f8867673a
- Realised P&L
- $-0.79
- Volume
- $124.21
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.960 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.08at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$0.17at 0.855Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?
- +$-0.02at 0.971Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?
- +$-0.02at 0.944Ethereum Up or Down on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 12:04 | Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $2.23 |
| 09-18 12:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.957 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 10:09 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.99 |
| 09-18 09:41 | Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:36 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0189148829 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 09:22 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.9689997597 | $1.00 |