jzzzj
0xea12cb6df61a7ce6751dbe22dc799da9c79d93cd
- Realised P&L
- $88.87
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $255.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.225 | $210.38 | +$1.42 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal | 0.310 | 0.320 | $45.02 | +$1.41 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.26 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.318 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.17at 0.105Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?
- +$110.81at 0.190Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$42.81at 0.420Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$29.56at 0.183Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$15.00at 0.240Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:17 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.3099999986 | $43.61 |
| 10-17 18:02 | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $40.80 |
| 10-17 18:00 | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.14 |
| 10-17 17:59 | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $41.28 |
| 10-17 17:58 | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2186655022 | $50.07 |
| 10-17 17:57 | Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.21 | $72.66 |
| 08-28 12:27 | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.2989999953 | $37.00 |
| 07-11 10:10 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $26.67 |
| 07-10 18:57 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.021 | $13.50 |
| 06-29 18:24 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0509999959 | $11.26 |
| 06-29 18:22 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139999988 | $12.00 |
| 06-29 18:21 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.067 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 18:20 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0250957645 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 18:19 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0089999994 | $15.00 |
| 06-29 18:18 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1039407216 | $35.00 |