sport5978
0xea10271408b536e0433444f40ab232b082786ccd
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $320.3k
- Markets traded
- 268
- Open portfolio
- $680.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded268
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.088 | $328.33 | +$298.65 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.154 | $201.52 | +$171.52 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.959 | $125.56 | +$24.74 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.105 | $15.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.051 | $10.36 | −$9.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.748Heat vs. Wizards
- +$1.6kat 0.741Hawks vs. Nets
- +$1.5kat 0.749New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$1.4kat 0.745Hawks vs. Magic
- +$1.2kat 0.810Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:40 | Will Tarik Skubal be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:07 | Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.006 | $5.66 |
| 08-01 19:06 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0165731889 | $8.34 |
| 07-05 08:02 | Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.011 | $10.67 |
| 07-05 08:02 | Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0020223285 | $8.03 |
| 06-04 03:15 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.4454244082 | $94.46 |
| 05-22 11:40 | Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1399999948 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 11:38 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0397490192 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 11:37 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0994252228 | $20.00 |
| 05-22 11:35 | Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 11:12 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.005 | $19.54 |
| 05-22 11:11 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.006 | $7.80 |
| 05-22 10:52 | Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.006 | $8.18 |
| 05-22 10:51 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0157086989 | $10.10 |
| 05-22 10:51 | Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.0301846479 | $13.42 |