PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sport5978

0xea10271408b536e0433444f40ab232b082786ccd

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$320.3k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$680.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0080.088$328.33+$298.65
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0230.154$201.52+$171.52
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.7700.959$125.56+$24.74
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1400.105$15.00$5.00
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0990.051$10.36$9.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 04:40Will Tarik Skubal be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?BUY0.99$1.00
08-01 19:07Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.006$5.66
08-01 19:06Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0165731889$8.34
07-05 08:02Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.011$10.67
07-05 08:02Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0020223285$8.03
06-04 03:15Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.4454244082$94.46
05-22 11:40Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
05-22 11:38Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0397490192$20.00
05-22 11:37Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0994252228$20.00
05-22 11:35Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.014$5.00
05-22 11:12Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.005$19.54
05-22 11:11Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.006$7.80
05-22 10:52Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.006$8.18
05-22 10:51Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0157086989$10.10
05-22 10:51Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.0301846479$13.42