ibra345
0xea0caf80cec9f250ad82ba4cfe44772da2096a81
- Realised P&L
- $-89.67
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $97.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.975 | $97.44 | +$3.45 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.00at 0.970Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$1.48at 0.926Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
- +$0.99at 0.978Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$0.71at 0.986Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
- +$0.66at 0.981Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?