bazingies
0xea048580b106d613c1bc878f981501be51b2e6e7
- Realised P&L
- $-84.40
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $68.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.105 | $68.69 | −$99.25 |
| AWS service disrupted by January 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.64at 0.086Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$11.22at 0.587Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
- +$-13.00at 0.350Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-23 13:50 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | SELL | 0.76 | $32.66 |
| 01-22 13:12 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.87 |
| 01-21 16:41 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $38.10 |
| 01-21 16:40 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1576063803 | $63.04 |
| 01-21 16:40 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $7.94 |
| 12-18 13:09 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 12-12 14:29 | Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 12-12 14:21 | AWS service disrupted by January 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.00 |
| 12-05 22:43 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.5869235213 | $34.34 |