drtoxic78
0xea04161273a8c52bbac6fc51f22eb19b8379e79c
- Realised P&L
- $-33.02
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $263.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.11at 0.591Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
- +$25.92at 0.650Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
- +$-2.34at 0.600Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
- +$-5.47at 0.630Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$-6.80at 0.220Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 19:23 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 06-11 19:22 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $24.85 |
| 06-11 19:20 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.92 |
| 06-11 19:19 | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.5719680787 | $47.66 |
| 05-28 02:33 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.5672195042 | $23.97 |
| 05-27 05:37 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6376169065 | $80.00 |
| 05-27 05:36 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4993115243 | $50.00 |
| 05-27 05:36 | Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 05-27 05:33 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.999 | $161.59 |
| 05-19 19:23 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 05-19 19:22 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.93 | $3.07 |
| 05-07 20:26 | Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.6199999982 | $47.55 |
| 05-07 20:25 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $49.18 |
| 05-02 05:40 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998985 | $2.16 |
| 05-02 05:40 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $20.00 |