chingon2
0xea022f3aae796523497dac70328697dd7c7923d1
- Realised P&L
- $161.12
- Volume
- $65.5k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $202.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$368.61at 0.062Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
- +$325.45at 0.298Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
- +$189.22at 0.128Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?
- +$57.63at 0.290Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 25?
- +$40.80at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on December 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-01 19:43 | Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%? | BUY | 0.0280000003 | $3.00 |
| 01-01 19:42 | Maduro out by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999992 | $55.00 |
| 12-27 23:25 | Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.40 |
| 12-27 23:22 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | SELL | 0.81 | $59.55 |
| 12-27 08:56 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 12-26 18:32 | Honduras presidential election annulled by February 28? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 12-26 14:06 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 12-26 13:36 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9731386669 | $100.00 |
| 12-25 22:41 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9489999994 | $50.00 |
| 12-25 22:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.10 |
| 12-25 21:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 12-25 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 12-25 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 12-25 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3562592193 | $2.00 |
| 12-25 21:32 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |