0xe9f78864f34e710ef313c4b677b5c945d89700f9
0xe9f78864f34e710ef313c4b677b5c945d89700f9
- Realised P&L
- $-43.1k
- Volume
- $1.78M
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $43.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.4kat 0.141Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.1kat 0.292Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$9.8kat 0.462Spread: Indiana (-3.5)
- +$7.9kat 0.047Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$6.8kat 0.858Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 16:33 | Will Miami FL have more than 11.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.29 | $0.87 |
| 10-25 16:21 | Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.835 | $1.4k |
| 10-20 03:03 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.999 | $163.85 |
| 10-19 05:52 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.1325339134 | $13.40 |
| 10-19 05:52 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.129 | $10.19 |
| 10-11 12:59 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.3582982269 | $5.8k |
| 10-09 16:53 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.3465873684 | $246.94 |
| 10-09 13:43 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.133 | $5.31 |
| 10-08 06:21 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 World Series MVP? | BUY | 0.0855558652 | $6.75 |
| 10-06 19:53 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.38 | $5.35 |
| 10-06 17:54 | Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $78.25 |
| 10-06 17:28 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.488 | $64.77 |
| 10-06 16:22 | Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season? | BUY | 0.85 | $119.14 |
| 10-05 04:55 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.3 | $9.00 |
| 10-05 04:36 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.209 | $10.45 |