monkeyjones
0xe9e8a47025c5666d8faaae0f000423037865b3fa
- Realised P&L
- $0.81
- Volume
- $136.86
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $6.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Connacht win? · No | 0.760 | 0.710 | $2.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.100 | $2.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10? · No | 0.620 | 0.555 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 8? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.006 | $0.31 | −$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$0.93 |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner · 1win | 0.420 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner · InterActive Philippines | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| M25 Darwin: Ethan Cook vs Philip Sekulic · Ethan Cook | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.43at 0.681China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva
- +$1.43at 0.681LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 15:27 | Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 15:27 | Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.0086070381 | $0.44 |
| 10-08 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:17 | Will Connacht win? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:17 | Will Connacht win? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:55 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:55 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:12 | LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 10:12 | LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0293509645 | $0.94 |
| 10-08 09:01 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 09:01 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:05 | M25 Darwin: Ethan Cook vs Philip Sekulic | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:52 | Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |