PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

monkeyjones

0xe9e8a47025c5666d8faaae0f000423037865b3fa

Realised P&L
$0.81
Volume
$136.86
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$6.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Connacht win? · No0.7600.710$2.80−$0.20
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.100$2.73−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10? · No0.6200.555$0.90−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 8? · Yes0.0090.006$0.31−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 8? · Yes0.0290.001$0.02−$0.93
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner · 1win0.4200.001$0.00−$3.00
Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner · InterActive Philippines0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
M25 Darwin: Ethan Cook vs Philip Sekulic · Ethan Cook0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 15:27Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.419999979$2.00
10-08 15:27Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-08 15:18Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.0086070381$0.44
10-08 14:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 10?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-08 13:17Will Connacht win?BUY0.7599999088$1.00
10-08 13:17Will Connacht win?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
10-08 11:55China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra AndreevaBUY0.6699999163$2.00
10-08 11:55China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra AndreevaBUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-08 10:12LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-08 10:12LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6699999163$2.00
10-08 09:54Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 8?BUY0.0293509645$0.94
10-08 09:01Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
10-08 09:01Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.109999989$1.00
10-08 08:05M25 Darwin: Ethan Cook vs Philip SekulicBUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-08 07:52Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.32$1.00