0xe9e0051daad857a20c463be15c01212608db1bc2
0xe9e0051daad857a20c463be15c01212608db1bc2
- Realised P&L
- $0.29
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $17.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.86at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$21.10at 0.264Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
- +$18.21at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$17.47at 0.589Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$15.97at 0.609Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 09:05 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 12:38 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 08:18 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 11:21 | Trump renames AI by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 00:05 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 04:15 | Will Geno Ploeger win AGT Season 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.01 |
| 09-24 02:24 | Will Geno Ploeger win AGT Season 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 16:17 | Will Trump say "Terror" or "Terrorism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.19 |
| 09-22 14:18 | Will Trump say "Terror" or "Terrorism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 21:48 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 23:23 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6179999913 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 01:14 | Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 05:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $6.28 |
| 08-20 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |