PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SANYO

0xe9dee5b1eed7f78330fd0f18070d9917a89b905e

Realised P&L
$-250.21
Volume
$53.9k
Markets traded
308
Open portfolio
$9.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded308
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0140.013$4.82$0.18
Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes0.0290.024$3.16$0.68
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? · Yes0.1800.095$0.53$0.47
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · Yes0.1850.045$0.49$1.51
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.003$0.49$1.51
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.001$0.07$0.93
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 2-8? · No0.0120.000$0.00$1.00
Will Kamala Harris say "Book" during Colbert show on July 31? · No0.0900.000$0.00$5.00
Ethereum Up or Down on August 13? · Down0.1240.000$0.00$6.00
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$3.00
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.00
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 14-20? · No0.0450.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.00
XRP Up or Down - November 24, 12AM ET · Down0.0220.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-01 06:28Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY0.32$1.00
02-01 06:28Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.145$4.86
01-13 04:42Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?BUY0.2299999778$5.71
01-13 04:40Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.014$5.00
01-13 04:40Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.148999979$5.00
01-09 02:51U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?BUY0.08$1.84
01-09 02:48Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?SELL0.79$1.83
01-07 03:20Will Venezuela become 51st state?BUY0.0285493808$3.84
01-03 18:51Maduro mugshot released by Monday?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
01-03 18:50Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.429999828$1.00
01-03 14:30Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?BUY0.2$1.00
01-03 14:29Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 5 - January 11 be between 13,750,000 and 14,000,000?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
01-03 14:29Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 5 - January 11 be less than 13,750,000?BUY0.048999954$1.00
01-03 14:28Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
01-03 14:27Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0149999854$1.00