cabro0971
0xe9dd429cbe1b47a99ee5bc241dc8dba2840055c4
- Realised P&L
- $-360.65
- Volume
- $180.4k
- Markets traded
- 773
- Open portfolio
- $493.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded773
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.983 | $491.50 | −$3.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.945 | 0.484 | $2.42 | −$2.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.00at 0.635U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
- +$50.18at 0.800Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?
- +$34.12at 0.930Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 9?
- +$30.06at 0.940Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?
- +$28.04at 0.860U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:38 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 15:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 09-16 16:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $449.10 |
| 09-15 16:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-13 13:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.55 |
| 08-28 13:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 08-04 19:04 | LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 07-15 19:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.952 | $4.76 |
| 07-12 19:07 | Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Keyd (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 07-05 18:53 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-03 16:39 | Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Jiang/Xu vs Golubic/Valentova | SELL | 0.245 | $1.23 |
| 07-03 08:19 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 07-02 02:14 | Cary: Yosuke Watanuki vs Tung-Lin Wu | SELL | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 07-01 14:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 1? | SELL | 0.9952 | $99.52 |
| 06-29 16:00 | Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team AION (BO3) - European Pro League Group A | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |