PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe9d870469dc4db29457e94c6863f90fa21e27906

0xe9d870469dc4db29457e94c6863f90fa21e27906

Realised P&L
$-16.23
Volume
$17.8k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$1.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? · Yes0.2200.210$0.95−$0.05
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes0.4600.175$0.38−$0.62
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 09:36John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?BUY0.219999978$1.00
08-27 15:56US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9569999904$1.00
08-25 23:42Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.9089999264$1.00
08-25 23:41Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.925$0.99
08-19 08:28US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
08-18 13:55Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?BUY0.991$1.00
08-17 22:15U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?BUY0.859999914$1.00
08-17 18:15Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-17 18:14Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-17 18:10Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-17 04:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-17 02:37Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.8639999516$1.00
08-16 21:30Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.002$0.67
08-16 21:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.002$0.67
08-16 21:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?SELL0.002$0.67