0xe9d870469dc4db29457e94c6863f90fa21e27906
0xe9d870469dc4db29457e94c6863f90fa21e27906
- Realised P&L
- $-16.23
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.210 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.175 | $0.38 | −$0.62 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.33 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.05at 0.497Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5
- +$0.15at 0.869U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?
- +$0.14at 0.918Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$0.03at 0.967US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$-0.00at 1.000Will Trump post "Crime" on Truth Social this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:36 | John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 15:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9569999904 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 23:42 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.9089999264 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 23:41 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.925 | $0.99 |
| 08-19 08:28 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 13:55 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 22:15 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 18:15 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 18:14 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 18:10 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 04:53 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 02:37 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.8639999516 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 21:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 08-16 21:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |
| 08-16 21:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.67 |