PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe9d793B4Dd00Cc6D27cFefeB3D8605442E9eE2e4-1768077747072

0xe9d793b4dd00cc6d27cfefeb3d8605442e9ee2e4

Realised P&L
$4.28
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$40.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? · Yes0.7260.470$30.11−$16.42
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0250.026$10.60+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 22:12Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?BUY0.7262431715$46.53
10-03 20:11Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.025$10.00
09-17 21:56Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.9959999645$10.00
08-28 17:28Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?SELL0.0894227426$7.71
08-28 17:28Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?BUY0.1159084323$10.00
08-28 17:27Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.62$9.84
08-28 17:27Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.6299999483$10.00
04-29 19:29Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?SELL0.4510931918$44.19
04-29 19:19Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?BUY0.56$52.06
04-13 17:40Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.991$9.91
04-13 17:40Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.994$9.94
04-13 16:47Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?SELL0.6511932314$11.93
04-13 16:34Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.5451645104$9.99
04-13 14:54Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.993$9.93
04-13 14:54Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.997$9.97