0xe9d793B4Dd00Cc6D27cFefeB3D8605442E9eE2e4-1768077747072
0xe9d793b4dd00cc6d27cfefeb3d8605442e9ee2e4
- Realised P&L
- $4.28
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $40.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? · Yes | 0.726 | 0.470 | $30.11 | −$16.42 |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.026 | $10.60 | +$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.34at 0.628US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
- +$1.94at 0.545Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$0.04at 0.996Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?
- +$-0.02at 0.993Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 22:12 | Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | BUY | 0.7262431715 | $46.53 |
| 10-03 20:11 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 21:56 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999645 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 17:28 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.0894227426 | $7.71 |
| 08-28 17:28 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.1159084323 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 17:27 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.62 | $9.84 |
| 08-28 17:27 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 19:29 | Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | SELL | 0.4510931918 | $44.19 |
| 04-29 19:19 | Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $52.06 |
| 04-13 17:40 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 04-13 17:40 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.994 | $9.94 |
| 04-13 16:47 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.6511932314 | $11.93 |
| 04-13 16:34 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | BUY | 0.5451645104 | $9.99 |
| 04-13 14:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 04-13 14:54 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |