0xe9ce9ec2cc2fbb35ba6008acf7f2a7617cd53d56
0xe9ce9ec2cc2fbb35ba6008acf7f2a7617cd53d56
- Realised P&L
- $-2.30
- Volume
- $229.00
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump deport 200-300k people? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.046 | $4.14 | +$3.47 |
| Exact Score: Java United FC 1 - 0 Garuda Yaksa? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| FC Groningen vs. FC Twente: Neither team to score first? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| FC Groningen to score first vs. FC Twente? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.36at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$1.96at 0.552FC Twente to score first vs. FC Groningen?
- +$1.25at 0.750Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Tochigi City FC end in a draw?
- +$-2.59at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 06:45 | Exact Score: Java United FC 1 - 0 Garuda Yaksa? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-06 05:42 | FC Groningen vs. FC Twente: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 05:33 | FC Twente to score first vs. FC Groningen? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-06 05:32 | FC Groningen to score first vs. FC Twente? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 09-06 03:44 | Will Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. Tochigi City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-06 03:40 | FC Groningen vs. FC Twente: Neither team to score first? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.85 |
| 09-06 03:40 | FC Groningen to score first vs. FC Twente? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-06 03:29 | FC Groningen vs. FC Twente: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.02 |
| 09-06 03:27 | FC Groningen to score first vs. FC Twente? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-06 03:06 | Will Trump deport 200-300k people? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 09-06 02:58 | FC Twente to score first vs. FC Groningen? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-06 02:57 | FC Groningen to score first vs. FC Twente? | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 09-06 02:24 | FC Twente to score first vs. FC Groningen? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-06 02:23 | FC Groningen to score first vs. FC Twente? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-06 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |